BIO CEO 2009, Part 2: The A’s
February 2, 2009 at 8:20 pm EST | Tags: BIO CEO, Conferences
We’re doing
quick reviews of all the companies presenting at BIO CEO and we’re
starting with the A’s. We didn’t list any of the tools or diagnostics
companies; just the drug developers. We also made our own little
rating system:
*Bull = bull
*Bear = dog (can still be saved)
*Stay away at all costs/beyond saving = dog with fleas (aka dwf)
Here we go…
4SC AG
The company’s dihydroorotate dehydrogenase inhibitor has been languishing for years without any compelling results. We like 4SC-205 and 4SC-201 from the recent Nycomed acquisition. Trading at about 2.70 EUR with about 25M EUR on hand ending 09-30-08.
Rating: dog
Aastrom Biosciences
Cell therapy. Stock trading at 60-something cents. Next.
Rating: dwf
Ablynx
Nanobodies are interesting. Company has great collaborators (Merck Serono, NVS, Wyeth). Not too fond of the lead cardiovascular therapy area. Trading at about $5 USD and holding steady for last 2 weeks.
Rating: bull (barely)
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals
This one is bad. Pimavanserin lacks any investor enthusiasm and doesn’t really differentiate from other 5-HT 2 antagonists. Most importantly, the drug did not meet its primary endpoint back in June. The stock is just at $1.00 (surprisingly). Beginning of the end.
Rating: dwf
Achillion Pharmaceuticals
This is another me-too antiviral play that has floundered for too long. Crowded market. The stock is just over a buck. No further comment.
Rating: dwf
Acorda Therapeutics
You guys know how we feel about this one. Solid data, great therapeutic area and recent NDA submission. The stock has also been creeping up almost 50% over the last 30 days on no news (from $16-17 to a high of $25).
Rating: bull
Addex Pharmaceuticals
Despite this company having partners like J&J and Merck and having a 170M USD+ market cap, these guys are overvalued. mGlu is nice n all, but until we see data in 2H09, it’s bad news.
Rating: dog
Advanced Life Sciences
Stock in the toilet. Cethromycin not exciting. End of story.
Rating: dwf
Affymax
This might of made a good buy 4-5 weeks ago, but we’re thinking neutral for now.
Rating: dog
Alexza Pharmaceuticals
With their scrapping of the Endo lidocaine deal and the layoffs (need to conserve cash), we would say also bad news. Plus, Staccato Loxapine is a sham. Overvalued.
Rating: dog
Allon Therapeutics
This is one of those companies that won’t survive the year unless they find a partner. The company has a low burn rate and cash on had for 2 years, but unless they get a partner and/or generate compelling data they will go the way of the dodo.
Rating: dwf
Allos Therapeutics
We’ve always liked Pralatrexate and were mystified when the stock didn’t move after the positive ASH data. We still like this one and see a place for the product in the market.
Rating: bull
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals
We also think this one is overvalued, but unfortunately can not comment any further at this time.
Rating: no comment
Amarin Corporation
With Lovaza on the market and a multitude of omega-3 patents/products/research out there, we gotta say this one is scary. Trading at just under 75 cents.
Rating: dwf
Amsterdam Molecular Therapeutics
I can’t believe anything gene therapy is still in existence.
Rating: dwf
Anadys Pharmaceuticals
We’re more excited about the TLR oncology program than the HCVs.
Rating: neutral/dog
Antisoma
With Fludarabine, DMXAA, Xanafide and an awesome backup pipeline, this company is undervalued with a share price of $40 USD and a 283M USD market cap, we gotta rule bull.
Rating: bull
Arana Therapeutics
Some of the oncology programs are promising. Everything is too early in development though, and the share price reflects it.
Rating: dog
Arena Pharmaceuticals
Lorcaserin? Based on what we’ve seen over the last 10+ years, we stay away from anything obesity.
Rating: no comment/dog
Array BioPharma
We like the targets. Decent amount of cash on hand and not that much debt ($30+M) relative to comparators. The stock has tanked with the economy, but has remained strong/steady over the last month or two.
Rating: bull
Athersys
stem cells: we turn our cheeks.
Rating: no comment
Avanir Pharmaceuticals
All I gotta say is that Abreva works!!!
OK OK, this company has
good products, but not enticing enough for investors – nothing market
changing or trailblazing. We gotta stay firm in our ratings…
Rating: dog
..and that’s it for the A’s. We’ll back in a few days with the Bs
thru Ds
Click here for our BIO CEO Part 1 post.
Image from ceo.bio.org
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More like bull = bull sh–
dog with fleas = so true!